Accenture World Golf Championship Match Play; Kvartfinaler & Semifinaler

OPPDATERING: Her er min vurdering for semifinalene:

Kl. 1950: Poulter vs. Garcia
– Snitt vinnerodds: 27/43
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 16-7/12-8
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 2-0-0/1-4-0
– Match odds: 1,83 Sportingbet mfl. / 2,12 Pinnacle. (98,2 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 55/45.
– Vurdering: Må si meg ganske enig med bookiene her, så står over spill.

Kl. 2002: Villegas vs. Casey
– Snitt vinnerodds: 61/36
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 6-2/14-7
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0-1-0/1-1-1
– Match odds: 2,5 Sportingbet / 1,7 Expekt. (101,9 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 44/56.
– Vurdering: Casey har vunnet alle sine 4 amtcher ‘5 and 4’, meget imponerende. Villegas har også spilt solid, så dette blir en virkelig spennende match. Casey er en bedre spiller og har nok spilt best, så hans kal være favoritt. Jeg synes dog at 2,5 hos Sportingbet blir for høyt, og anbefaler 3 units.

Her er min analyse av kvartfinalene i Accenture World Golf Championship Match Play 2010.

Kl. 1510: Jaidee vs. Poulter
– Snitt vinnerodds: 159/27
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 3-0/15-7
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/2-0-0
– Match odds: 2,74 Pinnacle / 1,6 12bet, 1,57 Betfair (1,6 før kommisjon). (101 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 37/63.
– Vurdering: Jaidee er en dyktig og ofte undervurdert spiller, men på tross av å ha avansert hit har han ikke spilt spesielt bra denne uka, noe Poulter på sin side har, og han spilte veldig solid i går. Jeg har Poulter som en overlegen favoritt her. Bookiene er enig, så ingen anbefalinger her.

Kl. 1522: Garcia vs. Wilson
– Snitt vinnerodds: 43/85
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 11-8/5-1
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 1-4-0/0-1-0
– Match odds: 1,8 Pinnacle, Betfair (1,84 før kommisjon) / 2,21 Expekt, 2,2 12bet, Skybet, Betfred, PaddyPower. (99,2 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 54/46.
– Vurdering: Garcia er en bedre spiller enn Wilson, men han har ikke den beste match historikken, deres seneste form er ganske lik og de har spilt omtrent like godt sålangt denne uka. Jeg har Garcia som en liten favoritt, og er dermed enig med bookiene, og står over spill. Om du skal spilles for underholdningens del, så anbefaler jeg Wilson.

Kl. 1534: Goosen vs. Villegas
– Snitt vinnerodds: 39/61
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 15-10/5-2
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 3-2-0/0-1-0
– Match odds: 2,09 Pinnacle / 1,96 Extrabet, 1,94 Expekt. (101,1 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 46/54.
– Vurdering: Goosen har vist god form de siste månedene, men om vi ser over de siste årene har Villegas spilt en del bedre, og når han også har spilt mye mer solid enn Goosen sålangt denne uka, så har jeg han som en favoritt over Goosen her. Jeg anbefaler spill på Villegas her, normalt ville jeg gitt 3 units, men da jeg har spill på Villegas som vinner av Gary Player bracket fra før av, så står jeg over spill. Om du ikke har fulgt mitt tidligere spill, kjør på her!

Kl. 1546: Cink vs. Casey
– Snitt vinnerodds: 36/36
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 21-10/13-7
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 4-3-0/1-1-1
– Match odds: 2,32 Expekt / 1,71 12bet, 1,7 Bwin, 1,694 Betfair (1,73 før kommisjon). (98,4 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 43/57.
– Vurdering: Casey har imponert stort sålangt, og er en bedre spiller enn Cink, men Cink er en meget god match spiller, og er absolutt en verdig motstander her. Jeg er helt enig med bookeine, så står over spill.


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