Accenture World Golf Championship Match Play; Dag 3

Her er mine analsye for 3. dag av Accenture World Golf Championship Match Play 2010.

Btw; hvorfor bilde av Tiger? Han spiller ikke denne turneringen, men kl. 17 idag vil han for første gang siden ulykken vise seg for offentligheten, og holde en pressekonferanse kl. 1700! Viasat Golf, og sannsynligvis nyhetskanaler som CNN vil sende live!

Kl. 1938: Ishikawa vs. Jaidee
– Snitt vinnerodds: 131/159
– Historikk i denne turneringen 2-0/2-0
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 1-0/0
– Match odds: 1,91 Totesport,1,893 Betfair (1,94 gør kommisjon) / 2,1 Ladbrokes, 888stport/BlueSQ, StanJames. (100 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 54/46.
– Vurdering: Ishikawa har imponert sålangt, og har et spill som passer match spill såvell som banen, jeg har spilt Jaidee i de to siste matchene, men her ser jeg faktisk verdi i Isikawa, selv om jeg normalt ville ha rangert Jaidee bedre enn Ishikawa, så har jeg tro på Ishikawa her. 2 units til 1,91 i odds.

Kl. 1950: Singh vs. Poulter
– Snitt vinnerodds: 171/27
– Historikk i denne turneringen 2-2/13-6
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/2-0-0
– Match odds: 2,54 Pinnacle / 1,627 Betfair (1,66 før kommisjon). (99,2 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 38/62.
– Vurdering: Jeg er ganske enig med bookiene her, så står over spill.

Kl. 1850: Clark vs. Garcia
– Snitt vinnerodds: 62/43
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 5-5/9-7
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 1-2-0/1-4-0
– Match odds: 2 StanJames, 1,98 Expekt / 2,01 Pinnacle (100,2 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 50/50.
– Vurdering: Garcia er den ebste spilleren, men Clark har vist bedre form i år og denne uka, og Garcia virker ikke helt fornøyd med spillet sitt, derfor har jeg de som 50/50 selv om banen ikke passer Clark spesielt. Bookiene har gjort samme vurdering, så ingen anbefalinger her.

Kl. 1902: Wilson vs. Donald
– Snitt vinnerodds: 85/48
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 4-1/9-4
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0-1-0/1-1-0
– Match odds: 2,37 Pinnacle / 1,73 StanJames, 1,7 Expekt, Betfair. (100 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 44/56.
– Vurdering: To spillere som ikke har så langt fra hverandre om vi ser over det siste året, totalt sett er Donald en bedre spiller, men i en match her rangerer jeg de ikke så langt fra hverandre. Donald spilte helt klart bedre enn Wilson i går, men slikt snur fort. Jeg anbefaler 2 units på Wilson til 2,37 i odds. Pinnacle skiller seg noe ut her, da de fleste bookies ligger på 2,1-2,2.

Kl. 2002: Watney vs. Goosen
– Snitt vinnerodds: 51/39
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 2-0/14-9
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/3-2-0
– Match odds: 2 12bet, VCBet, StanJames / 2 Eurobet/Coral, 1,95 BetDAQ (2 før kommisjon) (100 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 46/54.
– Vurdering: Ganske jevngode spillere, men med formen den tidligere ‘kjempen’ Goosen har vist de siste mnd. så rangerer jeg han bedre enn Watney. Nå slet Goosen i går, og slapp mange driver langt ut høyre, og det var kun pga. dårlig putting fra Els at han kom seg videre – men dette er en ny dag, og jeg har han som favoritt mot Watney, i likhet med de fleste bookies, som ligger på 1,8-1,9 her. Jeg anbefaler 4 units på Goosen til 2 i odds.

Kl. 2014: Crane vs. Villegas
– Snitt vinnerodds: 106/61
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 2-0/4-2/
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/0-1-0
– Match odds: 2,53 Pinnacle / 1,67 StanJames, 1,64 Bwin, Unibet Betfair. (100,6 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 38/62.
– Vurdering: Crane slap billig unna i første runde da motstanderen Stenson trakk seg pga. forkjølelse (flu-like symptoms), og han spilte heller ikke spesielt godt i går. Villegas på sin side har imponert, og han virker veldig klar til å vinne denne turneringen. Jeg har han som overlegen favoritt over Crane her, og anbefaler 2 units til 1,64 i odds. 1,67 hos StanJames om du kan spille der.

Kl. 1914: Schwartzel vs. Cink
– Snitt vinnerodds: 64/36
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 3-1/20-10
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 0/4-3-0
– Match odds: 2,16 Expekt, 2,15 Nordicbet / 1,846 BetDAQ (1,89 før kommisjon), 1,827 Betfair (1,87 før kommisjon). (99,5 % tb)
– Mine prosenter: 45/55.
– Vurdering: Schwartzel har vist god form i år, men Cink er en bedre spiller, og med sin gode historikk i match skal han være favoritt her. Jeg er ganske enig med bookiene her, så står over spill

Kl. 1926: Casey vs. Gay
– Snitt vinnerodds: 36/112
– Historikk i denne turneringen: 12-7/2-0
– Historikk i single-matcher i Ryder/President Cup: 1-1-1/0
– Match odds: 1,542 Betfair (1,57 før kommisjon) / 2,78 12bet, 2,75 Pinnacle, Sportingbet.
– Mine prosenter: 63/37.
– Vurdering: Casey er en mye bedre spiller, og en jeg har tro på i år (se mitt vinnerspill for Race to Dubai), og med hans to overlegne seier sålangt skal han være overlegen favoritt her. Bookiene er enig, så ingen spillforslag her. Skal noe spilles for underholdningens del, så jeg jeg en smule verdi i 2,78 på Gay hos 12bet.


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